Playbill does a little prognosticating.

From everything I’ve heard informally, this is a one horse race. Ruined seems destined to give Lynn Nottage her first Pulitzer.  It’s a combination of topical cultural relevancy, emotional heft, and cumulative recognition of one of our brightest theatrical lights.  I better get in to see it this week before it wins the award.

Of course…there’s one other possibility, and Playbill addresses it.  If the prize is given “for a distinguished play by an American author, preferably original in its source and dealing with American life,” then maybe Ruined slides a bit from the top spot, opening the door for, say, In The Heights.

What I’m saying is, it’s a one horse race, but maybe, it’s a two horse race.  And a Latin horse at that.